Showing posts with label Quick facts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Quick facts. Show all posts

Saturday, March 31, 2012

Quick Facts

Random facts about the patterns in conflicts:

Duration
For conflicts that began and ended after 1945 (Fearon and Laitin 2003; Fearon 2004):
  • The median duration of interstate wars was less than 3 months.
  • The median duration of civil wars was about 7 years. 
End
Consistent through different coders (Pillar 1983; Stedman 1991; Licklider 1995; Walter 1997):
  • Military victory is more common than negotiated settlement in civil wars.
  • Negotiated settlement is more common than military victory in interstate wars. 
  • Pillar: about two-thirds of interstate wars end in negotiated settlements; about two thirds of intrastate wars end in military victory.
  • Between 1940 and 1990, 42 percent of civil wars (seventeen out of forty-one) experienced some form of formal peace negotiation, and 94 percent of these cases drafted at least a cease-fire accord (Walter 1997).